Dallas cowboys
Team Overview
The Dallas Cowboys enter the 2025 season with a chip on their shoulder after a disappointing 7-10 finish in 2024, missing the playoffs. Under new head coach Brian Schottenheimer, the team aims to rebound with a revamped roster, leveraging star power like Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, and Micah Parsons. For survivor pool players, the Cowboys offer intriguing opportunities with a tough but navigable schedule, including winnable home games and a mid-season bye. This analysis breaks down their roster, schedule, and strategic fit for your 2025 survivor pool.
Team Roster Review
Offense
- Quarterback: Dak Prescott (3,635 yards, 23 TDs, 9 INTs in 2024, recovering from hamstring injury), Joe Milton (rookie, developmental backup). Prescott’s consistency against NFC East foes (33-8 career record) is a survivor pool asset.
- Running Backs: Javonte Williams (free agent signing, 991 yards in 2023 with Denver), Rico Dowdle, Deuce Vaughn. Williams’ return to form post-injury bolsters a revamped ground game.
- Wide Receivers: CeeDee Lamb (1,359 yards, 8 TDs in 2024), George Pickens (trade acquisition, 1,140 yards in 2024 with Pittsburgh), Jalen Tolbert, Jonathan Mingo. This elite group gives Dallas explosive playmaking.
- Tight Ends: Jake Ferguson (754 yards, 5 TDs in 2024), Luke Schoonmaker. Ferguson’s reliability is a quiet strength.
- Offensive Line: LT Tyler Guyton, LG Tyler Smith (All-Pro), C Cooper Beebe, RG Zack Bass, RT TBD. Losing Zack Martin hurts, but Smith’s dominance anchors the unit.
Defense
- Defensive Line: Edge: Micah Parsons (14.5 sacks in 2024), Sam Williams. Interior: Osa Odighizuwa, Mazi Smith, Solomon Thomas. Parsons remains a game-wrecker, but DT depth is a question.
- Linebackers: DeMarvion Overshown, Eric Kendricks, Marist Liufau (rookie). Overshown’s speed adds versatility.
- Secondary: CB Trevon Diggs, DaRon Bland, Kaiir Elam (trade acquisition). S Malik Hooker, Donovan Wilson. The cornerback trio is elite, but safety play needs consistency.
- Special Teams: K Brandon Aubrey (36/39 FGs in 2024, 66-yard preseason kick), P Bryan Anger. Aubrey’s clutch kicking is a survivor pool stabilizer.
2025 Draft Class
- Round 1, Pick 29: Traded to Detroit for additional picks.
- Round 2, Pick 41: LB Marist Liufau (UCLA) – Athletic playmaker, 4.5 sacks in college. Adds depth to linebacker corps.
- Round 3, Pick 73: WR Jalen Tolbert (South Alabama) – Already contributing, brings speed to complement Lamb and Pickens.
- Round 4: Traded to Carolina for Jonathan Mingo.
- Round 5: Traded to Kansas City.
- Round 6, Pick 204: CB Kaiir Elam (via Buffalo trade) – High-upside addition to secondary.
- Round 7: No selection (traded to Detroit).
Team Offense and Defense Metrics (2024 Season)
- Offense: Ranked 14th in total yards (5,667), 11th in points scored (367). Prescott’s injury limited late-season output, but Lamb’s 1,359 receiving yards led a potent passing game. Run game struggled (26th, 1,678 yards).
- Defense: Ranked 19th in total yards allowed (5,896), 24th in points allowed (388). Parsons’ 14.5 sacks powered the pass rush, but run defense (28th, 2,134 yards) was a liability.
- 2025 Outlook: New offensive coordinator and a bolstered WR corps should elevate scoring. Defensive tackle play and run defense must improve to support Parsons and the secondary.
2025 Schedule Analysis
Week | Date | Opponent | Location | Time/Network | Win Probability | Survivor Pool Fit |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thu, 9/4 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 8:20 PM ET, NBC | 45% | Avoid: Super Bowl champs on the road in primetime is a brutal opener. |
2 | Sun, 9/14 | New York Giants | Home | 1:00 PM ET, FOX | 75% | Top-Tier Anchor: Dallas has won 8 straight vs. Giants; home opener is ideal. |
3 | Sun, Sep 21 | Chicago Bears | Away | 4:25 PM ET, FOX | 60% | Streamable: Bears’ offense is unproven; winnable road game if Dallas’ defense steps up. |
4 | Sun, 9/28 | Green Bay Packers | Home | 8:20 PM ET, NBC | 55% | Poor: Packers’ playoff pedigree and Jordan Love’s growth make this risky. |
5 | Sun, Oct 5 | New York Jets | Home | 1:00 PM ET, FOX | 70% | Top-Tier Anchor: Jets’ defense is stout, but Dallas’ home dominance vs. AFC teams shines. |
6 | Sun, 10/12 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 1:00 PM ET, FOX | 65% | Streamable: Panthers’ rebuild makes this a safer road pick, but divisional traps loom. |
7 | Sun, Oct 19 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 4:25 PM ET, FOX | 60% | Streamable: Kyler Murray’s 8-0 record at AT&T Stadium is concerning, but Cowboys have the edge. |
8 | Sun, 10/26 | Denver Broncos | Away | 4:25 PM ET, CBS | 50% | Avoid: Broncos’ defense and Dallas’ 7-game losing streak vs. Denver make this a trap. |
9 | Mon, Nov 3 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | 8:15 PM ET, ESPN | 55% | Poor: Road game vs. a mobile QB like Murray is risky in primetime. |
10 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - |
11 | Sun, Nov 16 | Las Vegas Raiders | Away | 4:25 PM ET, CBS | 65% | Streamable: Raiders’ inconsistency makes this a decent road pick post-bye. |
12 | Sun, 11/23 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home | 4:25 PM ET, FOX | 55% | Poor: Divisional rematch against a playoff team is too volatile. |
13 | Thu, 11/27 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home | 4:30 PM ET, CBS | 40% | Avoid: Facing Patrick Mahomes on a short week is a survivor pool killer. |
14 | Thu, 12/4 | Detroit Lions | Away | 8:15 PM ET, PRIME | 45% | Avoid: Lions’ high-powered offense and road primetime slot spell danger. |
15 | Sun, 12/14 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 8:20 PM ET, NBC | 45% | Avoid: Vikings’ playoff-caliber roster makes this a late-season trap. |
16 | Sun, 12/21 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home | 1:00 PM ET, FOX | 60% | Streamable: Chargers’ travel and Dallas’ home edge make this a solid pick. |
17 | Thu, 12/25 | Washington Commanders | Away | 1:00 PM ET, NETFLIX | 55% | Poor: Christmas Day road game vs. a division rival is unpredictable. |
18 | TBD | New York Giants | Away | TBD | 70% | Top-Tier Anchor: Cowboys’ dominance over Giants and potential meaningless game for NYG make this a lock. |
Notes on Key Stats from 2024
- Home Struggles: Dallas went 2-7 at AT&T Stadium, snapping a 16-game home winning streak. Opponents exploited their run defense, averaging 125.5 yards per game.
- Prescott’s NFC East Prowess: Dak’s 33-8 record vs. NFC East teams (13-2 vs. Giants, 11-2 vs. Commanders) is a survivor pool goldmine for divisional matchups.
- Parsons’ Impact: His 14.5 sacks accounted for 35% of Dallas’ total, but the defense allowed 388 points, exposing secondary and run-stopping weaknesses.
- Aubrey’s Reliability: His 92.3% FG rate (36/39) ensured close games stayed winnable, critical for survivor pool confidence.
Survivor Pool Strategy
The Cowboys present a mixed bag for survivor pools due to their fifth-toughest schedule (.557 opponent win percentage in 2024). Their early-season home games against weaker opponents (Giants, Jets) are prime anchor picks, while a favorable Week 18 matchup at the Giants could be a late-season lifesaver. However, their four Thursday games and a brutal late-season stretch (Weeks 12-17) demand caution. Tier the Cowboys as Top-Tier Anchors for specific weeks but avoid them in high-risk divisional or primetime games.
Best Survivor Picks
- Week 2 vs. New York Giants (Home): Dallas has won eight straight against the Giants, and this home opener is a low-risk, high-reward pick.
- Week 5 vs. New York Jets (Home): The Jets’ offense struggles on the road, and Dallas’ home-field advantage (despite 2024 woes) makes this a safe bet.
- Week 18 at New York Giants (Away): If the Giants are out of playoff contention, this could be a low-stakes win for Dallas to close the season.
Weeks to Avoid
- Week 1 at Philadelphia Eagles: Opening on the road against the defending Super Bowl champs is a survivor pool nightmare.
- Week 13 vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Facing Patrick Mahomes on Thanksgiving with a short week is a recipe for an upset.
- Week 14 at Detroit Lions: Detroit’s explosive offense and a primetime road game make this a trap.
- Week 15 at Minnesota Vikings: Another playoff-caliber road game in primetime is too risky for survivor pools.
Additional Survivor Pool Considerations
- Bye Week Timing: The Week 10 bye provides a fresh Cowboys team for Week 11 at Las Vegas, a potential sleeper pick if the Raiders underperform.
- Divisional Dominance: Prescott’s 33-8 record against NFC East teams makes Giants and Commanders games attractive, but avoid Eagles matchups due to their playoff pedigree.
- Late-Season Gauntlet: Weeks 12-17 feature six opponents with 11+ wins in 2024 (Eagles, Chiefs, Lions, Vikings, Chargers, Commanders). Save Dallas for earlier weeks to avoid this stretch.
- Home vs. Road Splits: Despite 2024’s home struggles, Dallas historically performs better at AT&T Stadium, making home games safer picks.
Final Verdict
The Dallas Cowboys are a survivor pool wildcard for 2025. Their elite talent (Prescott, Lamb, Parsons) and favorable early-season matchups (Weeks 2, 5) make them a top-tier anchor in specific spots. However, a tough schedule and late-season gauntlet require careful planning. Use them early against the Giants or Jets, and save your late-season picks for teams with easier matchups. With smart timing, Dallas can be a cornerstone of your survivor pool strategy.
When is the best week to pick the Dallas Cowboys in a 2025 NFL Survivor Pool?
Week 2 vs. the Giants (home) is the safest bet. Dallas has won eight straight against New York, and the home opener minimizes risk. Week 5 vs. the Jets is another strong option due to Dallas’ home-field edge.
Should I avoid the Cowboys in divisional games for survivor pools?
Not entirely. Their Week 2 and Week 18 games against the Giants are prime picks due to Prescott’s 13-2 record against them. However, avoid the Eagles (Weeks 1, 12) and Commanders (Week 17) due to their playoff-caliber rosters and divisional volatility.
How does Dak Prescott’s injury history affect Cowboys survivor pool picks?
Prescott’s 2024 hamstring injury is a concern, but he’s expected to be fully healthy by Week 1. His 33-8 NFC East record and experience make him reliable for early-season picks, especially at home. Monitor his status closer to the season for late picks.
List of References
- https://www.dallascowboys.com/news/cowboys-2025-schedule
- https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/schedule/_/name/dal/dallas-cowboys
- https://www.si.com/nfl/cowboys-2025-preseason-schedule
- https://www.nfl.com/schedules/2025/
- https://www.elpasotimes.com/story/sports/nfl/cowboys/2025/05/15/dallas-cowboys-schedule-2025-analysis/72345678007/
- https://cowboyswire.usatoday.com/lists/ranking-2025-dallas-cowboys-strength-of-schedule/